Thursday, November 18, 2010

My NFL Week 11 Picks

My picks for this week (with the spreads from’s Pigskin Pick ’em):

(6-3) Chicago Bears** at
(5-4) Miami Dolphins -1.5
The Bears are 2nd in the NFL in points against this season. With Miami starting their third string quarterback, don’t expect the Bears to give up much.

(1-8) Buffalo Bills at
(2-7) Cincinnati Bengals** -5.5
Both teams are struggling this season, but there's no question that the Bengals are much more talented than the Bills. 

 (2-7) Detroit Lions at
 (2-7) Dallas Cowboys** -6.5
Again, a battle of two struggling teams, but the Lions looked very weak against the Bills and I wouldn't expect any better against Jason Garrett's revamped Cowboys. 

(6-3) Baltimore Ravens** at
(1-8) Carolina Panthers +10.5
Brian St. Pierre is starting for Carolina, John Fox's desperate attempt to save his job. Not very likely. The Ravens are too good. 

(3-6) Cleveland Browns** at
With how well the Browns have plate lately, I'd expect them to bounce back strong after their last second loss to the Jets. Peyton Hillis can have a big game. 

(5-4) Oakland Raiders** at
The Steelers haven't played their best football as of late, but the Raiders have. This will be closer than the spread. 

(5-4) Tennessee Titans -7.5
Donovan McNabb got that potentially big contract for a reason. He'll bounce back and at least keep the Redskins in this one. 

(5-4) Kansas City Chiefs** -7.5
Arizona's defense has been nothing but inconsistent, and with how well Matt Cassel and Dwayne Bowe have played lately, they'll have a tough time keeping the Chiefs off the board. 

(6-3) Green Bay Packers** at
Fresh off their much needed bye week, the Packers look to sweep the ailing Brett Favre and his Vikings after being swept by them last season. 

(4-5) Houston Texans at
(7-2) New York Jets** -6.5
The Jets match up extremely well with the Texans, especially if Revis can make Andre Johnson a non-factor. 

(7-2) Atlanta Falcons** at
(4-5) St. Louis Rams +3.5
Matt Ryan's confidence must be off the charts after last week's win over the Ravens. Especially after a long week, they'll pick apart the Rams' shaky secondary. 

(3-6) San Francisco 49ers** -3.5
The Niners are reborn under Troy Smith's leadership and have a chance to get back in the NFC West hunt. The Bucs streak against teams with losing records ends this week. 

(6-3) New Orleans Saints** -11.5
The Seahawks play terribly on the road. The return of Reggie Bush will help Brees and the Saints overpower Seattle. 

These games are always a toss up, but the Patriots have the running game that the Colts do not and that should be enough to win it for them. 

(6-3) New York Giants at
(6-3) Philadelphia Eagles** -3.5
Michael Vick is playing better than anyone in the NFL right now and will take advantage of a Giants team coming off a shocker on their home turf. 

(3-6) Denver Broncos** at
I do expect a Chargers win, but closer than this spread. Kyle Orton and the Broncos will be confident after last week's big win and will be able to play this one down to the wire, but Philip Rivers always seems to be able to lead his team downfield when he needs to. 

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